Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.009654 0.011455 0.013644 0.016551 0.020385 0.025384 0.032597
2025-08-24 0.007072 0.009038 0.011705 0.015732 0.021947 0.031743 0.049754
2025-08-31 0.005994 0.008058 0.011078 0.016096 0.024871 0.041183 0.079252
2025-09-07 0.005107 0.007099 0.010169 0.015626 0.026102 0.048338 0.112670
2025-09-14 0.004424 0.006305 0.009316 0.014955 0.026625 0.054368 0.152787
2025-09-21 0.004008 0.005848 0.008909 0.014946 0.028453 0.064830 0.230729
2025-09-28 0.003774 0.005646 0.008886 0.015651 0.032188 0.084012 0.420982
2025-10-05 0.003667 0.005636 0.009194 0.017115 0.038610 0.120462 1.062547
2025-10-12 0.003475 0.005447 0.009130 0.017740 0.043158 0.158032 2.763600
2025-10-19 0.003220 0.005112 0.008724 0.017454 0.044785 0.185312 6.644208
2025-10-26 0.003039 0.004893 0.008518 0.017610 0.048082 0.231930 33.905624
2025-11-02 0.002839 0.004619 0.008158 0.017284 0.049497 0.271012 480.284181
2025-11-09 0.002584 0.004234 0.007555 0.016289 0.048308 0.291916 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002367 0.003907 0.007046 0.015469 0.047599 0.320887 NaN
2025-11-23 0.002259 0.003780 0.006957 0.015824 0.052449 0.449975 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002110 0.003558 0.006621 0.015364 0.053188 0.532934 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001964 0.003330 0.006248 0.014709 0.052572 0.595111 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001871 0.003203 0.006091 0.014700 0.055597 0.795829 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001825 0.003165 0.006142 0.015389 0.063574 1.393979 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001815 0.003204 0.006384 0.016818 0.078785 3.823305 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001766 0.003152 0.006393 0.017429 0.089384 9.720330 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001684 0.003022 0.006183 0.017149 0.092211 17.576611 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001625 0.002939 0.006087 0.017302 0.099692 60.158306 NaN